Ceasefire or Mirage?

Prof. Kobi Michael: The deal is not really fleshed out enough to be called a plan. It is a framework, principles that pave the way toward a general vision of President Trump to create a new regional architecture.

Published in Ami Magazine, October 21, 2025.

Ceasefire or Mirage? shutterstock - Gaza - Survival Journey




Two years to October 7: The Strategic Costs of the IDF’s Operational Inadequacy

Main Points

  • Israel neutralized Hezbollah’s missile threat but failed to dismantle its ground forces or Hamas’s rule in Gaza.
  • The IDF lacks a coherent concept of operational maneuver – the coordinated use of ground forces to destroy enemy capabilities and achieve strategic goals.
  • Brilliant air and intelligence operations were not matched by decisive ground campaigns, leaving enemy forces largely intact.
  • Operations in both Gaza and Lebanon unfolded too slowly, allowing the enemy to recover and denying Israel strategic momentum.
  • The IDF repeatedly fought over the same areas instead of seizing and controlling critical ground to deny Hamas sanctuary and supply.
  • These operational shortcomings weakened Israel’s deterrence and may embolden regional actors, notably Egypt, to reassess Israel’s military credibility.
  • The IDF must relearn the art of operational maneuver – integrating speed, initiative, and decisive ground action – to transform tactical superiority into strategic victory.


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Bury past proposals: A future solution for Palestinians needs a new paradigm

A Palestinian state, in the sense of a sovereign entity responsible for its own military build-up and deployment, borders, airspace, electromagnetic spectrum, and treaties with foreign powers, would pose an existential threat to Israel. 
It would lead to severe and repeated conflict in the region, undermine the stability of moderate Arab states, and imperil key US interests. The idea of enabling the establishment of a fully independent Palestinian entity that could lead to another October 7-scale attack against Israel’s major metropolitan centers must be rejected.
The sooner that idea is relegated to the dustbin of failed proposals, the sooner a constructive discussion can begin on new paradigms for a stable, peaceful, and prosperous Palestinian future.

Experience and reality

The determination that an independent Palestinian state would pose an existential threat to Israel and constitute a source of severe regional instability is not based on conjecture but on experience and current realities.

The Palestinian Authority (PA) has existed since 1994. The more than three decades since the Oslo Accords provide a clear indication of the nature and characteristics of a future Palestinian state. Only those whose political worldview remains mired in wishful thinking or illusions can ignore the evidence.

In a best-case scenario, a future Palestinian state would be controlled by the non-Hamas factions that make up the PA. 
The PA, contrary to the moderate image it attempts to project in the West, continues to glorify and reward terrorism, portray the mass murderers of Jews as national heroes, and promote the belief that Israel will soon be wiped off the map.
Dozens of PA schools, summer camps, and streets are named after terrorists responsible for the cold-blooded murder of Jews. Official Palestinian Authority media repeats again and again the message that incarcerated and “martyred” terrorists are role models.
Another core element of Palestinian national discourse and education is the so-called “right of return,” the idea that the descendants of Arabs who left Israel in 1948 have the right to return to their former homes.
The result, of course, of millions of Palestinians “returning” to Israel would be to erase Israel’s existence as a Jewish state. PA President Mahmoud Abbas even wore a key-shaped pin during his 2025 United Nations address in order to emphasize this national aspiration.
The most prominent example of the PA’s encouragement of terror is the “pay to slay” system, in which it sends hundreds of millions of dollars to incarcerated terrorists and the families of terrorists who were killed.
Following international pressure, the PA carried out a bureaucratic reorganization with the aim of whitewashing such payments via a non-governmental organization.
However, 10 out of the 11 board members of this supposedly “independent” organization are PA employees and representatives, which include a PA minister and six undersecretaries.
The systemic Palestinian terror incitement leads to terror attacks. Palestinians in the West Bank and Jerusalem attempted to carry out more than 1,250 serious terror attacks in 2024, with approximately 80% being foiled by Israel’s security services – an impressive record but far from perfect.
Not only did the PA fail to prevent these attacks, but some of them were carried out by members of the PA security forces themselves.

Hamas would dominate

The most likely scenario in the event of the establishment of a Palestinian state is that it would quickly be dominated by Hamas and other Islamist terror groups. Hamas is the most popular political party in the West Bank.

A Palestinian poll from May 2025 revealed that Hamas is approximately 50% more popular than Abbas’s Fatah faction and that 59% of West Bankers still believe that Hamas’s decision to launch the October 7, 2023, attack was correct.
It must be recalled that in 2007, Hamas took over Gaza in six days, as PA and Fatah leaders fled. It is highly likely that Hamas would take over all or parts of a future Palestinian state.
The PA’s inability to clamp down on terrorist groups that take over its territory has already been demonstrated. In late 2024, armed Palestinian gangs seized the Jenin refugee camp, and the PA proved unable to retake control. Israel was eventually forced to intervene.
It is even less likely that the PA would be able to retake cities dominated by heavily armed Hamas battalions.
Given these realities, it is clear that a Palestinian state situated on the strategic hilltops overlooking Tel Aviv, Jerusalem, and Ben-Gurion Airport would be an existential threat to Israel.
The distance from the Palestinian city of Tulkarm in the West Bank to the Mediterranean coastline of Netanya is only nine miles. Several major Israeli population centers are only one to three miles from Palestinian cities.
A Palestinian state would enable the launching of rockets and missiles with almost no warning at Israel’s major metropolitan areas and critical infrastructure.
Indeed, in September 2025, the IDF broke up a terror cell near Ramallah that was developing rockets for precisely this purpose.
Pickup trucks of terrorists could roll into Israeli cities to carry out rampages of murder, kidnapping, and rape, just as they did on October 7. A sovereign Palestinian entity could disrupt Israel’s communications and threaten both civilian and military aircraft.

Regional threat

In light of such a threat, Israel would have no choice but to intervene forcefully, leading to repeated conflict. Such conflict would derail, time and again, progress toward regional cooperation and normalization.

Given the threat that the Muslim Brotherhood already poses to the Hashemite Kingdom in Amman and the [Egyptian] government in Cairo, a Hamas-infused Palestinian state would pose a grave threat to the stability of Jordan and Egypt.
An independent Palestinian state, capable of making concessions to foreign powers, would threaten critical US interests in other ways as well. In June 2023, Abbas traveled to Beijing to sign a China-PA “Strategic Partnership.”
The Palestinian Investment Fund announced plans for Chinese investments in infrastructure, manufacturing, and energy projects.
In July 2024, Abbas’s Fatah party, Hamas, and 12 other Palestinian factions went to China to sign a “national unity” agreement under Chinese auspices. Palestinian polls show that China is extremely popular in the West Bank.
A Palestinian state deeply compromised by Chinese state companies, investments, and infrastructure could pose a threat to critical US assets in Israel, Jordan, and beyond.
In addition to its support of terror, all evidence indicates that a Palestinian state would be a corrupt autocracy with little respect for human rights, freedom of expression, or the rule of law.
In 2025, Freedom House ranked the PA as Not Free, noting, “The PA governs in an authoritarian manner, engaging in repression against journalists and activists who present critical views on its rule.”
The PA suffers from systemic corruption and mismanagement, and all calls for reform have failed to produce real change.

Alternative solutions

The question then is, what is the alternative? While space here does not allow for a thorough analysis of that question, a few brief points are in order.

The first is that there is no reason to assume that one uniform arrangement would exist throughout the West Bank. Israel could extend its sovereignty to certain strategic areas like the Jordan Valley, potentially offering citizenship or permanent residency to the Palestinian residents there.
Other areas could be controlled by regional or local authorities with different degrees of autonomy, based on their commitment to peaceful coexistence and combating terror.
The second important point is that there are numerous examples worldwide of states or regions that have varying degrees of independence or autonomy, where citizens vote only in their own elections, despite another state controlling elements of their security and external affairs.
Such arrangements, for example, in Palau, Monaco, and Macau, are considered legal and legitimate. Across the globe, and particularly in the Middle East, the realization of the principle of national self-determination takes varied forms.
A Palestinian state would be an existential threat to Israel and a disaster for the region. Israel cannot risk another October 7 and must ensure its own security.
The international community will need to pressure the Palestinians to abandon their culture of terror and embrace one of coexistence and cooperation. It would then be possible to shape a stable, peaceful, and prosperous future for Palestinians and the Middle East.Published in The Jerusalem Post, October 16, 2025.



As Gaza is rebuilt, the toxic Unrwa structure must be dismantled

As the world turns its attention to Gaza’s ruins and the growing calls for reconstruction, a familiar cycle threatens to repeat itself. The guns fall silent, aid convoys roll in, diplomats speak of “political horizons” – and within a few years, or sometimes even less, rockets once again rain on Israel.

If the war that began on 7 October, 2023 is not to become yet another round in this endless loop, one lesson must be faced with honesty: what Gaza desperately needs is deradicalisation.

No amount of reconstruction will bring peace if the ideological foundations of Hamas – and of Palestinian society more broadly – remain untouched. The massacre of October 7 was not an aberration born of despair; it was the logical outcome of an idea that has animated Palestinian politics for a century: the refusal to accept Jewish sovereignty anywhere between the river and the sea. Until that changes, no peace plan will succeed, and no ceasefire will hold.

For decades, Western diplomats have misdiagnosed the conflict as a territorial dispute – about borders, settlements, and security arrangements. Yet at its core, for the Palestinians, it is about legitimacy: Israel is viewed not the homeland of the Jewish people but an alien colonial implant. Jews are viewed not as an indigenous nation returning home but as foreigners who imposed themselves through force. Like the French in Algeria, they are expected to leave. At best, they might be tolerated as a religious minority under Muslim rule – never as a nation entitled to self-determination.

This ideology has not only survived for more than a century but been institutionalised and sustained – through the United Nations Relief and Works Agency, or Unrwa. Created in 1949 as a temporary body to assist the roughly 700,000 Palestinians displaced during Israel’s War of Independence, Unwra has become a permanent agency with a single overriding purpose: to perpetuate the refugee status of Palestinians indefinitely. Whereas the role of the international community should be to create the circumstances for enhancing peace, in this case it did the exact opposite.

Unlike the UN High Commissioner for Refugees, which resettles refugees and ends their statelessness, Unrwa enshrines it. Only in the Palestinian case is refugee status permanent and passed down to descendants for eternity. The result: the number of Palestinian “refugees” has swelled from 700,000 to some six million (Palestinian leaders routinely claim eight or nine million). In reality, more than 95 per cent of them were never displaced from anywhere. They were born in Gaza, Ramallah, Amman, or Beirut.

Unrwa has become a symbol, in the eyes of Palestinians, of their desire to “return” – in space, to their previous homes inside Israel (most of which do not exist any longer), and in time, to an era before the creation of the Jewish state. Given the demographics, such a “return” would mean the end of the Jewish state. Under the auspices of the international community, Unrwa has become the political vehicle through which the number of Palestinian “refugees” has been exponentially inflated, to serve the political goal of “return” and, ultimately, of undoing Israel’s existence.

This political mechanism has devastating consequences. It teaches generation after generation that their homes lie not in Gaza or Nablus but in Haifa and Jaffa – that their birthright is to “return” to cities inside Israel, and that Israel’s very existence is a temporary injustice waiting to be undone.

In Unrwa schools, textbooks glorify “martyrs,” maps erase Israel, and pupils are taught that “return” – meaning the destruction of Israel – is not a dream but a duty. Unrwa has become part and parcel of Palestinian rejectionism.

The leaders of Hamas, including Yahya Sinwar, spoke openly in the days before October 7 of an imminent “return” – a chilling reminder that the concept is not a metaphor but a call to violent action.

If Gaza is to have a future different from its past, Unrwa must be dismantled and the very concept of a “Palestinian refugee” in Gaza must disappear. One cannot be a refugee from the place one was born.

The message should be clear: you can live next to Israel in peace, but not instead of it.

Gaza’s reconstruction must be explicitly conditional. Any new governing authority – whether local Palestinians, a joint Arab body, or an international trusteeship – must adhere to a few non-negotiable principles: recognition of Israel as the nation-state of the Jewish people and a formal end to the state of war against it; renunciation of claims inside Israel’s pre-1967 borders; acceptance that Gaza’s residents are not refugees and that they do not possess a “right of return”; and a firm commitment to demilitarisation, with all aid monitored to prevent its diversion into weapons or tunnels.

These are not maximalist demands but the bare minimum for any sane policy. Without ideological surrender, military defeat is meaningless. Israel can destroy Hamas’s arsenal, but if children are still taught that Jews have no right to be there, a new Hamas – or any other organisation different only in name – will rise from the rubble.

For too long, Western diplomacy has tiptoed around these truths, preferring to pour concrete and hope for moderation. But real hope for a different future will come only when Palestinians choose life over grievance, reality over myth, and coexistence over the dream of “return” and erasure. The war will end only when the ideology that caused it ends.

Published in The Jewish Chronicle,  October 16, 2025.




Now that you’ve recognized Palestine, try it for genocide in The Hague

When Canada, France, the United Kingdom and Australia rushed to recognize a Palestinian state, they did not advance peace; they rewarded terror. They handed political and legal legitimacy to the same movement that, two years ago, committed the most barbaric massacre of Jews since the Holocaust.

If these governments, including Canada, now insist on treating “Palestine” as a state, they must also accept the consequences of that recognition: bringing “Palestine” before the International Court of Justice (ICJ) on the charge of genocide.

For the past year, Israel has faced a grotesque inversion of justice at The Hague, accused by South Africa and others of genocide for defending its citizens after Hamas’s October 7 slaughter. Even though Israel has gone to unprecedented lengths to follow the laws of armed conflict, the ICJ has allowed that political stunt to proceed, giving moral cover to Hamas and ignoring its own explicit statements of genocidal intent.

If Palestine is indeed a state, as these governments now claim, professing their commitment to international law, that commitment must be tested in practice. The law cannot be applied selectively, nor can recognition be treated as a symbolic act divorced from its legal effect. Recognition carries not only diplomatic weight but enforceable responsibility under international law.

It follows that “Palestine” must bear legal responsibility for the actions of Hamas on October 7 and for everything that has followed, including the ongoing torture and captivity of hostages.

This is where the absurdity of these recognitions becomes clear. Western leaders proclaimed support for Palestinian statehood, yet in the same breath insisted they do not recognize Hamas, which governs Gaza. So who exactly are they recognizing? The Palestinian Authority, a corrupt, unelected body that has no control over Gaza, whose president is now in the twentieth year of a four-year term and continues to pay salaries to terrorists? Or Hamas, which still boasts of the “fruits of October 7”?

Under the Genocide Convention, a state is responsible not only for acts committed by its agents, but also for failing to prevent or punish genocide committed on its territory or under its control.

What makes this even more striking is that the Palestinian Authority acceded to the Genocide Convention in 2014. By doing so, it accepted the duty to prevent and punish genocide. Having claimed the benefits and status of a state party, it cannot now evade the responsibilities that come with it.

The acts of October 7, which Hamas vowed to repeat “again and again” until Israel was annihilated, satisfy every element of genocidal intent described in Article II of that Convention.

If the act of recognition is to mean anything, it must bring with it the same standards of accountability applied to every state under the Genocide Convention. Otherwise, recognition becomes performative — a political indulgence that undermines the very rule of law it claims to uphold.

You simply cannot have it both ways. Either the Palestinian Authority is the governing representative of this so-called state, in which case it bears responsibility for the genocide carried out from the territory it claims, or Hamas is the ruling authority, in which case these governments have legitimized a terrorist organization.

Either way, the consequence of this recognition is that “Palestine,” as a self-proclaimed state, must bear legal responsibility for the crimes committed from its territory, including the genocidal massacre of October 7.

This legal logic is unavoidable. Recognition is the act that transforms a political claim into a juridical reality. Once that threshold is crossed, obligations arise. A state recognized as such must answer for the actions of those operating under its flag or from its territory. Anything less would hollow out international law and render the Genocide Convention a political tool rather than a binding instrument.

This would force an uncomfortable reckoning for those same governments that so eagerly joined the diplomatic campaign against Israel. It would compel them to face the legal and moral implications of their decision, and to acknowledge that recognition carries responsibility as well as rhetoric.

Recognition means owning that record. It means accepting that a state must answer for its crimes, and that the victims of October 7 — the murdered, the raped, the burned and the still-held captive — deserve justice as much as any other victims of genocide.

For too long, the international system has indulged the hypocrisy that Palestinians are eternal victims without agency, while Israel alone bears responsibility for every tragedy in the region.

Recognition of Palestine cannot mean impunity for terror cloaked in sovereignty. It must mean responsibility. Either international law applies to all — or it applies to no one.

That starts with holding the Palestinians accountable before the International Court of Justice to answer for the real genocide on October 7 — the one committed with merciless, salivating glee by Hamas.

The credibility of the international legal order depends on consistency. Those who claim to uphold it cannot invoke the law for political expediency to condemn Israel, while shielding the Palestinians from accountability for the atrocities of October 7.

The article was written together with Alan H. Kessel is the former Assistant Deputy Minister Legal Affairs and Legal Adviser at Global Affairs Canada and is a senior fellow at the Macdonald Laurier Institute.

Published in National Post, October 12, 2025.




Policy recommendations for Dealing with Immediate Security Challenges

The following policy paper does not address the plusses and minuses of the hostage release agreement, which is now a fait accompli, nor does it address the ongoing mechanisms within the framework of the deal. Rather, its purpose is to recommend ways to cope with the security challenges that the new reality is likely to pose for the State of Israel.

Five Challenges:

  1. Policy on use of military force: It is critical to adapt and clarify the policy for use of military force in the Gaza Strip at the different stages of implementation of the agreement. The sharp transition from a state of combat to a ceasefire while Israel’s forces are still deployed in areas of the Strip may create a lack of clarity, disrupt the forces’ ability to respond to various scenarios, and also endanger our soldiers. It is important to decide and make clear to IDF forces that in every situation, the leading consideration is the security of the IDF troops on the ground.

 Israel should determine ahead of time the responses to the following plausible scenarios: how to act when armed Hamas operatives, tunnels, or weapons are detected; how to respond to “rogue” rocket fire; and how to react to Hamas activity aimed at repairing or reestablishing military capabilities.

  1. Protecting the security zone and preventing its erosion through creeping attrition: The rules of engagement must be set so as not only to prevent a direct risk to IDF soldiers, but to protect the security zone and prevent its erosion through a Hamas strategy of creeping attrition. Hamas or other terrorist elements are likely to attempt to gradually erode the enforcement of this zone by habituating our forces to the arrival of children, women, or the elderly into these areas under various pretexts. This must not be allowed to happen.
  1. Preventing the rehabilitation of Hamas’s military capabilities under the cover of humanitarian efforts: Among the hundreds of supply trucks entering the Gaza Strip will be weapons as well as dual-use materials and equipment needed to produce weapons and ammunition. The claim that goods will be transferred to Gaza only after inspection and verification, even if true, does not address dual-use materials. Fiberglass sheets, electrodes, adhesives, etc., will be presented as intended for legitimate civilian use but will be used by Hamas and other terrorist groups for military ends.

The challenge is even more complex regarding tractors and heavy mechanical equipment, whose entry is ostensibly required for clearing rubble and road repairs. It is clear that such equipment will also be used to prepare tunnels. Effective oversight in this domain will not be feasible given the reality that will prevail in Gaza. All that can be achieved is to slow and complicate the enemy’s efforts by limiting the types of equipment that may be brought into Gaza.

  1. Israeli civilian policy toward the Gaza Strip: Israel may quickly find itself facing a flood of requests from Palestinians in Gaza, encouraged by the mediating countries, to enter Israel for medical treatment in hospitals or to transit to Judea and Samaria (West Bank.) The Israeli political echelon should decide now in a manner that leaves no room for interpretation that under no circumstances will Palestinians from Gaza be permitted to enter Israel. In this context, there is reason to be concerned that members of Gazan clans who fought against Hamas will seek refuge in Israel. The solution for them should not lie within the territory of the State of Israel.
  1. Terrorism trends in Judea and Samaria (West Bank): Given that the war is ending with Hamas still standing and with the release of numerous Palestinian terrorists, support for Hamas is expected to increase, and the potential for terror attacks originating in the West Bank, already on the rise, is expected to grow even further. Against this background, an immediate hardening of Israel’s security policy in this arena is required. Israel should continue the offensive approach adopted at the outset of the war, including the use of targeted prevention measures. The Shin Bet has a key role in monitoring each of the terrorist prisoners who will be released. No tolerance should be shown toward any attempts by them to return to terror activity in any form.



What to do with the terrorist trawlers

With President Trump bringing comprehensive peace to the Middle East starting with freedom from Hamas hands of Israeli hostages, only a few minor details still need to be worked out – like what to do with all the terrorist trawlers. These are the “flotilla” boats left behind by anarchists, antisemites, and other fanatic pro-Hamas activists who have tried to bust Israel’s necessary naval blockade of Gaza.

Remember the “Mavi Marmara”? The ship was the lead boat of the 2010 Turkish attempt to (supposedly) highlight humanitarian needs in Gaza. In reality, the so-called “freedom flotilla for Gaza,” led by the terrorist-supporting Turkish Foundation for Human Rights and Freedoms and Humanitarian Relief (IHH), was nothing more than a violent attack on Israel, meant to bolster Hamas.

Since then, Israel has been assaulted by similar “flotillas” packed with many bad actors and very little humanitarian aid – in 2011, 2015, 2016, 2018, and this year too. The latest attempt to sail into Gaza in support of Hamas involved over 50 ships, all intercepted by Israel last week. The rag-tag collection of terrorist-supporting trawlers came from Algeria, Greece, Italy, Libya, Spain, and Tunisia, with participants from 16 noted “peace-loving” countries like Ireland, Portugal, South Africa, Sweden, and Venezuela.

Deporting the malicious anti-Israel activists was easy, although an argument could have been made for locking them all up on criminal offenses and throwing away the key.

More difficult is the question of what to do all the “humanitarian attack boats.” Israel does not need these bothersome rink-a-dink ships crowding its ports, and there is absolutely no reason to give the boats back to their evil operators and owners.

So, after getting our hostages home, before major IDF withdrawals from Gaza, and before conjuring-up broader peace deals, it is time for a little payback against the nasty actors out there. Here are ten punishing and purposeful things Israel could usefully do with the terrorist trawlers.

  1. Load the ships with humanitarian supplies (and perhaps a few weapons too) for the persecuted Armenians and downtrodden Kurds and set sail for the shores of their oppressor – Turkey. In the ports of Mersin, Marmaris, and Antalya we can unload all the wheelchairs, Band-Aids, chocolate bars, baby toys, bullets, slingshots, electric steel-cutting saws, knives, and other goods donated by peace-loving Israelis. While we’re at it, in each city Israel could set up an expansive traveling museum exhibit on the Armenian genocide and the inalienable rights of the Kurdish people to independent statehood.
  1. Rename the boats for Israeli hostages held for two years in barbaric captivity by Hamas in Gaza, then load the boats with several hundred Hamas terrorists held in Israeli prisons. (Even after the coming releases, there will remain plenty more Palestinian mass murderers in Israeli prisons, including the Nazi-like Nukhba raiders of October 7.) Anchor the boats off the coasts of Qatar and Turkey under heavy guard, with no food and no visits from the Red Cross. Tell the dictators of Doha and Ankara that they can have their terrorist buddies and the boats too, if all political and financial aid to Hamas ends. Wait them out.
  1. Rebrand the ships as “Karine A,” “Karine B,” and so on, then launch an Israeli flotilla for peace. Sail our armada into the ports of Doha, Imam Khomeini, Istanbul, and Jeddah broadcasting messages of reconciliation and democracy. The Israeli “Voice of Peace” radio station will broadcast from the ships into every home in the Mediterranean and Arabian seas. News broadcasts will spotlight Israel’s academic, cultural, and high-tech successes, and its global medical/humanitarian efforts; alongside reports on racism, discrimination, slavery, terrorism, and antisemitism in the Arab and Moslem worlds.
  1. Christen the ships as “Donald J. Trump I,” “Donald J. Trump II,” and so on, and refit them as escape vessels that will sail refugees from Gaza to new lives elsewhere in the world – far away from the ruinous military kill zone of Gaza wrought by Hamas, a strip of land pockmarked by over 750 kilometers of attack tunnels and weapons manufacturing bunkers dug underneath almost every school, hospital, and home.
  1. When done giving safe passage from Gaza to all those European countries who so love the peaceful Palestinians of Rafiah, Khan Younis, and Dir-al-Balach (– evidence repeat UN resolutions endorsed by Europeans swearing faithfulness to Palestinian freedoms), the boats can be retrofitted as tax free casinos for Trump’s grand “Riviera” plan. They can be anchored off the rebuilt golden resort city of Gaza. European lords and princesses, and Qatari emirs along with their American business partners, will enjoy preferential access and VIP gambling privileges.
  1. Rename several ships as “Exodus I,” “Exodus II,” and so on, and set sail for the Iranian ports of Bandar-Abbas and Bushehr to force the release of Iran’s remaining Jews. With a sufficient media pool, a high-profile inter-faith delegation, and a smattering of Nobel laureates aboard, we should be able to embarrass the clerics of Tehran into ending their blockade against Jewish emigration. While visiting Bushehr, we could also take a tour of the nuclear reactor, to see up-close, first-hand, how Iran is producing peaceful medical isotopes there.
  1. Rename the ships for 50 Israeli towns and farming communities ravaged by Hamas invasion and missiles, then sail the ships for the Arabian (formerly “Persian”) Gulf and block Kharg Island, which handles over 90% of Iran’s crude oil exports. Consider this Israel’s contribution to the “snapback” of international sanctions against Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs, which mandates no international oil trade with Iran. China will suffer from this the most, deservedly so.
  1. Retrofit the ships as passenger ferries for Ultra-Orthodox (haredi) Israelis who prefer to emigrate rather than serve in the IDF or do national service. First to sail can be the radical former chief Sephardic rabbi Yitzhak Yosef, who keeps threatening to demonstratively decamp for the Diaspora in order to avoid participation in what he callsshemad,“spiritual annihilation.” (This is how he views any sharing by haredi Jews, G-d forbid, in the Israeli national burden of military service.) I will help Yitzhak Yosef pack his bags and walk the gangway up the deck.
  2. Sell the ships on the international market to cover the health expenses of wounded Israeli soldiers and of Israeli families destroyed by Hamas’ October 7 attack. Leftover funds can help rebuild southern and northern Israeli towns devastated by Hamas and Hezbollah. Alternatively, Israel could cut the boats up into pieces and sell chunks as souvenirs on E-Bay, to fund psychological rehabilitation and provide income support for the very many Israeli war widows and orphans.
  3. Sink the ships just outside the territorial waters of Britain, Canada, France, Ireland, and Spain to protest their hubris, hypocrisy, and hostility to Israel. Just blow the boats up in their faces.

Published in The Jerusalem Post and Israel Hayom, 10.10.2025.




Planned pro-Palestinian rally at Sydney Opera House a grotesque insult to October 7 victims

Just days after the horrific terrorist attack on a synagogue in Manchester, which left two Jews dead, a group of pro-Palestinian protestors plan to descend on the Sydney Opera House — in the same week that marks the second anniversary of the October 7 Hamas massacre, no less.

Let that sink in for a moment. A “protest” scheduled around the anniversary of the worst massacre of Jews since the Holocaust, at the very site where, within 48 hours of those attacks, the same mob gathered chanting “Where are the Jews!”, in one of the ugliest scenes witnessed on Australian soil.

Now they are salivating to return — not to call on Hamas to accept President Donald Trump’s peace plan to end the war or release the hostages — but to express more unbridled hatred and whitewashing of Hamas atrocities.

We saw this in August, when Sydney’s other national icon, the Harbour Bridge, was likewise hijacked by the same group of extremists.

This is not coincidence.

It is part of a pattern we are seeing worldwide.

From Manchester to Sydney, the same crowd of agitators and hungry mobs reappear, feeding off Jewish pain, while trying to mask their echoing of Hamas’ propaganda, by calling it ‘solidarity’, or a ‘march for humanity’.

The NSW Police deserve credit here for taking legal action in the NSW Supreme Court to stop this gathering due to public safety risks. They have offered alternative venues, but all have been rejected by the protest organisers. The police are absolutely right here.

The Opera House forecourt is no place for this spectacle, with confined space, limited exits and real difficulty facilitating the amount of people likely to descend.

But beyond logistics and serious safety concerns, this is about the grotesque symbolism of letting those who celebrated October 7 return to the very site they defiled, to once again turn our Opera House into a stage for hate and division.

Published in news.com.au, October 7, 2025.




How Hamas has survived Israel’s military campaign in Gaza

On the second anniversary of Hamas’s October 7, 2023, massacre, which sparked the war in Gaza – now Israel’s longest – the question arises as to why the Islamic terror group remains undefeated.
Before addressing the reasons – and offering some explanations – it is first necessary to address the concept of defeat in relation to a semi-state terrorist organization such as Hamas.
Defeat is a military concept derived from the world of interstate wars, or armed conflict between two or more state armies. Such wars are waged on defined fronts, distinguishing between combatants and civilians, and staying within the boundaries of the international laws of war. Even for ending such conflicts, there are mechanisms recognized by international institutions such as the United Nations. In this world, to defeat an army means to deprive it of the ability or will to continue fighting.
In a world of non-state or semi-state actors such as Hamas, war is conducted completely differently. For a religious terrorist organization with a nationalistic sentiment motivated by a supranational ideology committed to the re-establishment of the Islamic caliphate, the separation between the civil or political realm and the military echelons is almost nonexistent.

Supporting Hamas

Hamas’s military wing is far more significant and influential than its political arm, despite being responsible for governing Gaza for more than 18 years. During that time, the organization, which grew out of the population, has compounded its support among the people, and that support continues to grow after October 7, according to some polls. In short, the organization is deeply embedded in Gaza’s civil society and operates from within it.

Under these conditions, there is no single point of gravity for Hamas that could cause its downfall. Defeat, in terms familiar to the world of interstate wars, is almost impossible without the widespread destruction of the civilian population, a war crime or a form of genocide that Israel would never commit.
The expectation of many for a clear victory in the style of the Six Day War, with Hamas waving a white flag, is an illusion. Fortunately, the Israeli government and the military are aware of the problems involved in defeating Hamas and understand that defeat, in this instance, means dismantling the organization as an effective governmental and military entity.
So, why, after two years, has Israel not yet succeeded in achieving that?
First, the strategic choice to attack Hamas and the Gaza Strip gradually, starting in the north of the territory and reaching other areas later on, turned out to be wrong. Secondly, the method of occupying an area, clearing it of terrorist infrastructure, and then abandoning it, also proved problematic. Israel found itself returning to the same areas it had already cleared multiple times. And finally, the IDF echelon’s reluctance to occupy the entire Gaza Strip and impose military rule in the early stages of the war also turned out to be a mistake.

International pressure

Beyond Israel’s erroneous military decisions, the more substantial reasons are external.

The fact that Israel faced a multi-front regional war forced it to spread its resources; it also found itself exposed to tremendous international pressure that was devoid of any strategic or moral logic.
The international community, including the US administration, forgot the October 7 attack very quickly. When reports began to emerge of Palestinian civilian casualties, the international community began forcing Israel to increase humanitarian aid to the Gaza Strip.
Israel was also forced to allow humanitarian aid to enter active combat zones and eventually found itself fighting Hamas while at the same time feeding Hamas, allowing this murderous terrorist organization to continue to sustain itself.
Hamas’s control over the distribution of humanitarian aid allowed the group to maintain its mechanisms of control over the territory and, especially, the people. It suppressed any possibility of rebellion and prevented the establishment of an alternative civilian government.
Beyond international pressure, Israel was exposed to the spread of false narratives by Hamas, narratives echoed by many in the international media, international aid organizations, and the UN.
Civilian casualties, starvation, and war crimes all became part of that narrative, despite the IDF’s efforts to reduce the extent of collateral damage.
Understanding the international media well, Hamas succeeded in increasing the effect and, as a result, the pressure ramped up on Israel.
Additionally, Hamas’s hostage-taking served to fuel tensions between Israeli society and the government, and between the military and political echelons. The regular protests by hostages’ families across the country gave the government little room to maneuver.
Those protests spread to the international sphere, especially to the United States, putting pressure on the administration in a significant way, making it very difficult for Israel to operate militarily in instances such as taking control of Gaza’s southernmost city of Rafah and the strategic Philadelphi Corridor.
Under president Joe Biden’s administration, Israel was pressured to move forward in negotiations to end the war, even at the cost of impossible and unbearable concessions. This played into Hamas’s hands and encouraged the organization’s leadership to harden its positions.
In recent months, this international pressure has spilled over into economic and cultural spheres to the point of boycotts and refusals to allow the passage of planes or ships carrying weapons destined for Israel.

On the battlefield

Beyond all of this, it is important to consider the battlefield itself. Over the past decade and beyond, Hamas managed to build an extensive network of hundreds of kilometers of tunnels beneath Gaza

This has allowed Hamas’s operatives to move freely and safely throughout the Gaza Strip. A system of command and control rooms, weapons depots, rocket launch sites, and food, water, and fuel depots, under the cover of residential buildings and humanitarian facilities such as hospitals, clinics, schools, and mosques, also enable Hamas to breathe and survive.
No army in the world has experienced war under these conditions, and the task of destroying tunnels in a dense urban environment is complicated and slow-moving.
The fact that Hamas, deeply embedded in Palestinian civil society, continues to have the support of the population and, even in cases where it has lost popularity, manages to force civilians to serve as human shields, also makes the IDF’s operations extremely difficult.
The presence of hostages in Gaza has complicated matters even further. The IDF must act with the utmost caution and avoid operating in areas where it thinks hostages might be present for fear of harming them.
Despite all the constraints and complexities, the military has made some impressive achievements, such as dismantling most of Hamas’s military capabilities; eliminating its entire senior chain of command; killing tens of thousands of its combatants; and destroying its main command and control centers, as well as its weapons production facilities.
With the occupation of Gaza City and then the central refugee camps now in motion, the process of dismantling Hamas will be complete. Conditions for the establishment of an alternative civilian government will be a further blow to Hamas.
The final step, in order to defeat the organization and deprive it of the ability to recover in the future, must also include the elimination of its external leadership, which is what Israel tried to do recently in Doha, Qatar, but apparently failed.
This war began with a terrible disaster for Israel, a bloody humiliation, and a scar that will be etched in the collective consciousness for generations to come but continued with a series of impressive military achievements, far beyond the Gaza Strip.
With the end of the war, Israel and the IDF will record an impressive and historic victory, and the course of the war as a whole, and the Gaza War in particular, will be studied for many years to come in military colleges around the world.Published in The Jerusalem Post, October 5, 2025.

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Recognition of a Palestinian state: A moral low and a strategic folly of the West

Since October 7, European and other nations have worked to advance recognition of a Palestinian state, with the peak of these efforts occurring during last week’s UN General Assembly, led by France. To date, 156 out of 193 UN member states have recognised a Palestinian state, ostensibly aimed at ending the war and saving the “two-state” solution in the face of Israel’s moves to advance settlements in Judea and Samaria.

In his UN address, French President Emmanuel Macron claimed that “sacrificing the lives of additional civilians, expelling Gaza residents to Egypt, annexing the West Bank, the death of hostages held by Hamas, or creating facts on the ground that could irreversibly change the situation there” must be prevented. He further erred in his distorted perception of reality when he tried to explain that “recognition of a Palestinian state is a defeat for Hamas as well as for all those who foment anti-Semitism, cultivate anti-Zionist obsessions and want the destruction of the State of Israel”. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer even accused Israel of cruelty in the war.

To show that this is a considered move with considerable thought behind it, Macron and Starmer clarified that the Palestinian Authority must meet commitments to carry out reforms, including dismantling Hamas, stopping incitement against Israel, ending salary payments to terrorists and their families, fighting corruption, and even holding democratic elections.

Remarkably, European and other nations choose to base their political plan for a Palestinian state on the word of Palestinian Authority Chairman Abu Mazen, who has not hidden his Holocaust denial and his desire to see Israel wiped off the map. This illustrates the impracticality and lack of seriousness in the recognition move, and that in practice the two main things it promotes are a prize for the Hamas terror organisation and advancing the Palestinian Authority’s aspiration for a one-state solution – Palestinian instead of the State of Israel.

As mentioned, the decision to recognise a Palestinian state is primarily declarative, and it did not even have the power to change the status of the Palestinian entity at the UN to full membership, since the Palestinians, who do not meet the basic conditions for recognition as a state, need the support of nine members of the UN Security Council and hope that no veto will be imposed on such a decision by the United States. Although this might appear to be a decision that would advance a sustainable solution for the Palestinians, it seems to serve primarily to attack the State of Israel in the international arena.

Indeed, despite being a declarative move, it provides a tailwind to those seeking to harm Israel, and we already see well-organised campaigns to demonise the State of Israel (mostly funded by Qatar), its citizens, and Jews wherever they are, regardless of their connection to Israel.

In sports, discussions are taking place behind the scenes to suspend Israel from UEFA (the European Football Association). In other sports, there are demands for Israeli teams to compete without the Israeli flag, and recently, in the bicycle race in Spain, riots by pro-Palestinian demonstrators who disrupted the competition led to calls to prevent the participation of the Israeli team, in what appears to be another prize for terror.

In culture, petitions by progressive liberal celebrities against Israel, claiming genocide, have featured in major film festivals, and awards have been given to works that echo the Palestinian narrative. In academia, research institutions refrain from publishing research by Israeli researchers, and funding for joint research with Israel has become difficult to impossible. On the security level, several countries have decided to impose an embargo on security procurement from Israel.

The supporters of this growing boycott are using the Russian case to base their claims. However, this comparison also sins against the truth and points to a sharp logical failure – in the Russia-Ukraine war, Russia was the aggressor that invaded Ukraine contrary to international law, while the State of Israel operates in Gaza to return the abductees and dismantle the Hamas terror organisation that invaded, murdered, and raped Israeli citizens.

In this sense, Israel’s position as the stronger side in the war leads the international community to identify the State of Israel as an aggressor rather than as a victim. In this context, suspending Israel would be tantamount to suspending Ukraine for daring to defend itself against Russia’s attacks.

So why do European countries choose to give a prize to terror? There are domestic and foreign reasons for this that are not at all related to the Palestinian issue. France quite regularly uses the Palestinian issue to strengthen its position as a leading country in the European Union and in the international arena, alongside an effort to please the Muslim population in France and to divert French public opinion from the failures of the government’s economic policy.

In Britain, the absurdity is even greater – it seems that the recognition of Palestine is intended to divert attention from Starmer’s political weakness, including within his own party, and the recognition of a Palestinian state has even exposed Britain to Palestinian claims for compensation due to British colonialism in the Land of Israel. In other countries, the decision depends on the composition of the current government and, given political change, may even be reversed.

Despite being a declarative move, Israel must not remain silent in the face of the international effort to harm Israel’s legitimacy, the war effort against Hamas, and negotiations for the release of the hostages. Israel should examine a variety of response moves that will strengthen Israel’s sovereignty and exact a price from the Palestinian Authority, but these need to be done with the required sensitivity so as not to harm the Abraham Accords, not allow Hamas to benefit from the Palestinian Authority’s weakness, and assist friendly countries to maintain their support of Israel.

Published in Firstpost, September 29, 2025.