Prof. Kobi Michael: There are several scenarios at the moment. I don’t know what is ‘likely’ because we don’t know what is going on in President Trump’s head or what is going on in Supreme Leader Khamenei’s head. But given that, the first scenario, which is perhaps the most likely one right now, is that the regime will succeed in suppressing these demonstrations. That doesn’t mean that it will succeed in suppressing the motivation or will succeed in eliminating the infrastructure for a renewed outbreak of protests because the situation in Iran is very difficult and there doesn’t seem to be a positive horizon. But as we see things right now, with the level of violence and murder by which they are handling the protest, and there was probably a decrease in the scale of the protests yesterday, it is a likely scenario that they will succeed in suppressing it.
Published in Globes, January 14, 2026.
