Israel and Iran stand on the threshold of a new phase in their strategic confrontation, and Israel must act with heightened intelligence alertness.
Expert on Iran and Shiite political Islam. PhD on pro-Iranian transnational networks in the Persian Gulf.
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Under Khamenei’s directive, the regime will strive to preserve and also project its (faltering) image as a victorious force.
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A newly released archive photo shows Ali Shadmani and Hassan Nasrallah together, revealing another chapter in their strategic alliance.
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Khamenei’s core dilemma lies in balancing a response to the U.S. strike that maintains internal legitimacy without triggering war. Within Iran, pressure is mounting—from a frustrated public, economic hardship, and weakened trust in the regime’s deterrence posture. A misstep could deepen domestic unrest and expose the regime’s vulnerability more than any external threat ever could.
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Without the leading figures who directed the war effort from Hamas’s side, the group will struggle to function effectively, though it will likely continue to resist a comprehensive hostage deal.
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In the Media
Iran Is Drawing Encouragement From Differences Coming Into View Between Israel and America
Dr. Yossi Mansharof: Israel is thinking long term, Trump thinks short term. Following the trauma of October 7 Israelis are more aware of the existential threat Iran represents. Meanwhile, I …